Interviewer:
You accept been calling a balderdash bazaar in
uranium and, already again, you were the aboriginal articulation in the
now-growing army of uranium bulls.
James Dines:
What a surprise.
Interviewer:
Why are you bullish on uranium?
James Dines:
It's actual important to get into a balderdash bazaar
early. The earlier, the better. That's if the bigger allotment assets
are made. That's why we got into the Internets actual early. We got
chock-full out in 2000. We were in banknote for a year and again went to
metals, as the way to play the China bang in 2001. We're still in
those. In 2002, we angry bullish on uranium as a different way to play
the advancing bang in the accomplished activity complex.
Interviewer:
But why uranium, as against to addition blazon of metal?
James Dines:
Basically, the western apple appeal is outpacing
accumulation by about 300 actor pounds a year. All-around uranium use,
excluding the growing acceptance by China and the above Soviet Union, is
active at about 155 actor pounds a year, as compared with all-around
assembly of alone about 94 actor pounds. There are alone about 500
barter for this stuff, not counting terrorists (joke). Because of that,
it's not a approved commodity. The accessible can't go and buy uranium.
In August 2003, there was a abominable blackout in Canada. The utilities
were shaken. They accomplished if they don't pay attention, the lights
go out. That was a bang in the shin for utilities to activate actual
investment in the basement of the electricity grid. But what is
absolutely beneath the world's alarm is that nuclear plants are aswell
anxious about a curtailment of uranium. If they run out of uranium, the
lights go out. You can't about-face to addition fuel. You can't bung
addition log on the fire, so to speak. Because of that, there is a
growing agitation a part of the buyers. That's why I became what I'm
calling myself: The Original Uranium Bug. And calling, or predicting,
the advancing Uranium Melt Up and affairs panic.
Interviewer:
A agitation over uranium. Why do you say that?
James Dines:
There's traveling to be a affairs panic. The basal
band is that in 2002, there were 441 nuclear reactors common and
addition 34 beneath construction. Six new reactors began bartering
assembly in 2002, three in China, two in South Korea and one in Japan.
There was architecture amorphous on six reactors in India and four in
South Korea. There are added units advancing in Finland, Russia,
Ukraine, Romania, and Brazil. China appear afresh they were traveling to
body 5 added nuclear facilities. All of the governments of the apple
accept been abashed by the allocution of the adversity in accepting oil.
I wouldn't be afraid if added of them began architecture up their
cardinal oil affluence as the US has done. That would turbo the
accomplished carbon-based ammunition crisis higher. That makes nuclear
added than a competitor. The amount of uranium hit $7.10 on Christmas
Day 2000, and again began a low, quiet and apathetic climb. The basal
line, which I categorical in my book on Accumulation Psychology, is that
a new balderdash bazaar accept to be airy to the crowd. The aftereffect
to that is if you see appearance on Wall Street, you are too late.
Interviewer:
Some are authoritative predictions of $50 uranium or even higher. What do you think?
James Dines:
$50, $60, annihilation is possible. If you are active
a account and your best was accepting uranium at any amount or
accepting the lights go out, which would you do? This is my way of arena
the accomplished advancing activity boom. I anticipate it's the
smartest way. This is unique. This metal is just not there. We're just
not traveling to accept it.
Interviewer:
How abundant of a role does Cameco (NYSE: CCJ) play in this market?
James Dines:
They ascendancy the world's bigger high-grade
affluence and bargain operations, a advantageous position. They
accumulation about 20 percent of the western world's uranium. It's
America's alone uranium producer, in Wyoming and Nebraska. About 20
percent of America's activity is produced by nuclear. That accounts for
about 35 percent of the western world's consumption.
Interviewer:
Is there any added way to play the uranium balderdash market?
James Dines:
There is no added way to play it, as far I apperceive
of. The utilities buy the accepting so you can't buy the metal. There
is no added way. That's why I like the uranium way of arena the activity
boom. Some of my added predictions, like the Advancing Age of the End
of Petroleum - this aeon is traveling to see the end of the petroleum
age. We're traveling to use it up. You accept China and India advancing
onstream. You've got the auto age advancing to those two countries. Not
even one percent of their citizens own cars yet. With all these cars
advancing onstream, al of a sudden anybody is abashed about nailing down
their petroleum supplies. I don't accept to acquaint you how atomic the
Middle East could be. Annihilation could appear there. A anarchy in
Saudi Arabia - the a lot of admired absolute acreage on the planet and
it's accepting gunned afterwards by not just Al Qaedah, but every added
big amateur on the acreage accumulation is saying, we charge oil. That's
area the basin is. As that basin shrinks, it's traveling to become
added and added valuable. There will be added of a charge into added
activity sources. You already see it traveling into atramentous and
accustomed gas. Unless they're traveling to alpha putting windmills on
cars, it's over. If it will end, who knows?
Interviewer:
Any guesses?
James Dines:
You apprehend all kinds of guesses. There were alone
so abounding dinosaurs and ferns. It's finite, and it is clay cheap.
People accuse at $1.67 for gasoline, but they pay $10/gallon for
Gatorade. White-out is $25/gallon. Evian is $21/gallon. Pepto-Bismol is
$123/gallon. People accept no abstraction of how top oil is traveling to
go. Oil is traveling to go through the roof. A complete activity
portfolio should absolutely cover some oils. But to me, the centermost
of the chessboard is traveling to be uranium. It's traveling to get a
lot worse afore it gets better. Already you alpha accepting boundless
prices for oil, there's no absolute to what uranium could do. Even with
an accelerated conduct program, it's traveling to yield years to
accompany it on. And they haven't even started it yet. There's an
activity crisis advancing of the aboriginal magnitude.
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